The possibility of Donald Trump returning to the White House in 2024 raises important questions about the future of India-US relations. A second Trump presidency could bring significant shifts across several key areas, including trade, immigration, military cooperation, and broader diplomatic engagement.

During his first term, Trump’s “America First” agenda and his transactional approach to foreign policy led to major policy changes such as tariffs on foreign goods, stricter immigration rules, and a hardline stance on global alliances. This article explores how these policies may impact India, which has developed a strong strategic and economic partnership with the US over the years.

Trade Relations:

Trump’s potential reimposition of tariffs, particularly on sectors like IT, pharmaceuticals, and textiles, could challenge India-US trade ties. However, India's role as a manufacturing hub for US businesses looking to diversify from China could provide opportunities for closer economic collaboration.

Immigration:

Trump’s restrictive policies on immigration, especially the H-1B visa program, are likely to continue, which could create challenges for Indian tech professionals and firms. The article examines how these restrictions might affect India’s skilled workforce in the US.

Military and Defense Cooperation:

Despite Trump's focus on reducing US military entanglements globally, his administration saw heightened defense cooperation with India, particularly in countering China’s growing influence in the Indo-Pacific. A second term could lead to deeper military collaboration, including joint exercises, arms sales, and technology transfers.

Counterterrorism:

India's long-standing concerns about terrorism from Pakistan could align with Trump’s security policies. The article explores how Trump’s “Peace through Strength” doctrine could benefit India in its counterterrorism efforts, particularly with regard to Pakistan.

Diplomatic Dynamics:

A Trump administration might lean more toward an isolationist approach in its broader foreign policy, which could alter multilateral engagements but may also offer India greater latitude to pursue bilateral agreements.

In conclusion, while Trump’s foreign policy could create friction in areas like trade and immigration, his administration’s stance on defense and counterterrorism could strengthen India-US ties. India will need to strategically navigate these dynamics to maintain and enhance its relationship with the United States.